25.7 C
New York
HomeReal EstateHow it impacts your money

How it impacts your money

I expect the Fed will keep the door open for a December rate hike, says Roger Ferguson

The Federal Reserve left its target federal funds rate unchanged for the second consecutive time Wednesday.

Even so, consumers likely will get no relief from current sky-high borrowing costs.

Altogether, Fed officials have raised rates 11 times in a year and a half, pushing the key interest rate to a target range of 5.25% to 5.5%, the highest level in more than 22 years. 

“Relief for households isn’t likely to come soon, at least not directly in the form of a cut in the fed funds rate,” said Brett House, economics professor at Columbia Business School.

The consensus among economists and central bankers is that interest rates will stay higher for longer, or until inflation moves closer to the central bank’s 2% target rate.

What the federal funds rate means for you

The federal funds rate, which is set by the central bank, is the interest rate at which banks borrow and lend to one another overnight. Although that’s not the rate consumers pay, the Fed’s moves still affect the borrowing and savings rates they see every day.

To a certain extent, many households have been shielded from the brunt of the Fed’s rate hikes so far, House said. “They locked in fixed-rate mortgages and auto financing before the hiking cycle began, in some cases at record-low rates during the pandemic.”

However, higher rates have a significant impact on anyone tapping a new loan for big-ticket items like a home or a car, he added, and especially for credit card holders who carry a balance.

Here’s a breakdown of how it works.

Credit card rates are at all-time highs

“Rising debt is a problem,” said Sung Won Sohn, professor of finance and economics at Loyola Marymount University and chief economist at SS Economics.

“Consumers are using a lot of credit card debt and paying very high interest rates,” Sohn added. “That doesn’t bode well for the long-term economic outlook.”

For those borrowers, “interest rates staying higher for a longer period underscores the urgency to pay down and pay off costly credit card debt,” noted Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com.

Home loans: Deals slow to ‘standstill’

Although 15-year and 30-year mortgage rates are fixed and tied to Treasury yields and the economy, anyone shopping for a new home has lost considerable purchasing power, partly because of inflation and the Fed’s policy moves.

The average rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is up to 8%, the highest in 23 years, according to Bankrate.

“Purchase activity has slowed to a virtual standstill, affordability remains a significant hurdle for many and the only way to address it is lower rates and greater inventory,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist.

Prospective buyers attend an open house at a home for sale in Larchmont, New York, on Jan. 22, 2023.

Tiffany Hagler-Geard | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Auto loan payments get bigger

Student loans: New borrowers take a hit

Savings accounts holders are earning more

“Borrowers are being squeezed but the flipside is that savers are benefiting,” McBride said.

While the Fed has no direct influence on deposit rates, the yields tend to be correlated to changes in the target federal funds rate. The savings account rates at some of the largest retail banks, which were near rock bottom during most of the Covid pandemic, are currently up to 0.46%, on average, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

“Average rates have risen significantly in the last year, but they are still very low compared to online rates,” added Ken Tumin, founder and editor of DepositAccounts.com.

Some top-yielding online savings account rates are now paying more than 5%, according to Bankrate, which is the most savers have been able to earn in nearly two decades.

“Savings are now earning more than inflation and we haven’t been able to say that in a long time,” McBride said.

Subscribe to CNBC on YouTube.

Source link

latest articles

explore more


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here